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Research and predictive analysis of pyrolysis characteristics of multi-source organic solid wastes

Received Date:2024-03-31 Revised Date:2024-05-06 Accepted Date:2024-10-10

DOI:10.20078/j.eep.20240510

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    Abstract:Experimental determination of thermochemical conversion characteristics of multi-source organic solid wastes is a time-c... Open+
    Abstract:

    Experimental determination of thermochemical conversion characteristics of multi-source organic solid wastes is a time-consuming and labor-intensive process. By leveraging machine learning methods, the correlation mechanism between different feedstock properties and thermochemical characteristics can be explored to enable fast and accurate prediction. A comprehensive dataset was constructed based on the fundamental properties and pyrolysis characteristics of 38 types of industrial organic solid waste. Descriptive statistical analysis, correlation analysis, and principal component analysis (PCA) were employed to uncover patterns within the dataset. Subsequently, the random forest (RF), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms were utilized to predict the high heating value (HHV) of organic solid waste, the distribution of fast pyrolysis products, and the thermogravimetric curves under various atmospheres. The R^2 values achieved for HHV, product distribution, and thermogravimetric curves ranged from 0.835 to 0.866, 0.701 to 0.875, and 0.976 to 0.980, respectively. Additionally, the Mean Decrease Impurity (MDI) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methods were applied to analyze the model′s performance and identify key features influencing the model′s decision-making process. This allowed for explaining the relationship between feedstock properties and HHV. It also enabled explaining the connection between product distribution and pyrolysis characteristics. This study aims to offer valuable insights into the intelligent management and efficient disposal of organic solid waste.

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    Authors:

    • ZHANG Zihang1
    • XING Bo1
    • MA Zhongqing2
    • HU Yanjun3
    • ZHANG Zhixiao4
    • YUAN Shizhen5
    • LU Rufei5
    • CHEN Yingquan5
    • WANG Shurong1,*

    Units

    • 1. State Key Laboratory of Clean Energy Utilization, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China
    • 2. College of Chemistry and Materials Engineering, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, China
    • 3. Institute of Energy and Power Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310014, China
    • 4. College of Mechanical Engineering, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018, China
    • 5. Jinhua Ningneng Thermal Power Co., Ltd., Jinhua 321000, China

    Keywords

    • Organic solid waste
    • Pyrolysis characteristics
    • Machine learning
    • Predictive analysis
    • Interpretability

    Citation

    ZHANG Zihang, XING Bo, MA Zhongqing, et al. Research and predictive analysis of pyrolysis characteristics of multi-source organic solid wastes[J]. Energy Environmental Protection, 2024, 38(5): 135-146.

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